Thoughts

Artificial Intelligence & Philosophy

Structural limits of observational learning for interventional competence

Modern AI systems are trained largely on observational data: patterns, correlations, and records of what has already happened. While it is familiar that correlation is not causation, less is known about what this implies for learning dynamics, intervention, and structural limits on generalization. This manuscript gives theorems characterizing fundamental limits of observational learning.

Under review at The Journal of Causal InferenceAI & Causality

Explanatory Adaptation: The Physics and Epistemology of Intelligence

Most definitions of intelligence either collapse into task performance or become too vague to explain what intelligent systems are doing. This work asks what makes a system capable of improving across changing conditions, and argues that intelligence is better understood through the construction, criticism, and revision of explanations.

PhilPapers / PhilArchiveUnder review at PhilosophiaPhilosophy of Intelligence

Towards Error Centric Intelligence I, Beyond Observational Learning

Modern AI systems are often evaluated by performance on observed tasks, but this can hide which errors are actually reachable, diagnosable, and correctable. This work asks whether progress toward general intelligence depends less on scale alone and more on the ability to expose, transform, and repair errors.

arXiv preprint2025AI & Causality

Thoughts

Healthcare, Civics & Policy

Civic Renewal Party

Modern states often treat policy as a contest of fixed programs rather than as a series of fallible conjectures that need criticism, measurement, revision, and appeal. This work explores institutional designs for a more corrigible civic system: one that preserves evaluation, exit, accountability, and lawful correction.

In developmentCivics & Policy

TRUST-CARE - a bottom up approach to Universal Healthcare

Healthcare financing struggles to combine universal access, price discipline, patient agency, and protection from catastrophic costs. TRUST-CARE proposes a credit-based health-financing mechanism designed to make care portable, repayable according to ability, and backstopped where ordinary repayment fails.

SSRN working paperCivics & Policy

Thoughts

General Science

Immunology, Oncology & Evolution

Immune recognition is often modeled through narrow proxies such as binding affinity, even though real immunogenicity depends on presentation, recognition, selection, and evolutionary context. This work asks how better representations of antigenicity and counterfactual selection could improve reasoning about tumors, viruses, and immune targets.

In developmentImmunology